26/07/2024
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French and Italian are prominent in the announcement of electric vehicle manufacture

French and Italian are prominent in the announcement of electric vehicle manufacture

 18% of the new vehicles imported in Europe by 2021 are plug-in electric vehicles, with 1.77 million passenger plug-in electric cars registered in Europe.

 Thatโ€™s 17.8% (9.1% BEVs) of the total market.

 The total number of new passenger plug-in electric car registrations has increased by 26% year over year to 184,797, according to EV volumes data in October.

 Battery-electric vehicles (BEVs) market share in new passenger car registrations in Europe has increased rapidly from about 2% in 2019 to about 6% in 2020 and approximately 9% in 2021 (January to November). 

The European Union’s CO2 standards for automakers, set at an average target level of 95 g / km (NEDC) for 2021, are a major factor influencing the rise of these latest electric vehicles.  Next levels of EU standards include a 15% CO2 reduction target for new cars by 2025 and a -37.5% target for 2030.  For 2035, as part of its FitFor55 control package,

The European Commission has proposed a 100% CO2 target – that is, a complete step-by-step of new combustion engine vehicles.  While the Commission’s proposal still has to go through the legislative process, the European Parliament and EU Member States have weighed in, with automakers already embracing their strategic product plans.  Several manufacturers have already come forward with announcements about their plans for a full electric vehicle market share in future years.

 Along with Stalantis and Renault, manufacturer groups with strong ties in France and Italy are currently taking the lead in terms of expected uptake rates for BEVs.  Stellantis has about 2.0 million new car registrations, of which about 7% BEVs by 2021.  The two largest Stellantis brands, Fiat and Peugeot, both publicly announced their intention to sell 100% BEVs by 2030. 

Two additional brands under the Stellantis umbrella, Alfa Romeo and Opel, are dedicate to 100% BEVs by 2027 and 2028, respectively.  In total, these four brands account for nearly three-quarters of Stellantis’ new car sales in Europe.  The Renault Group, headquartered in Paris, has about 0.9 million new car registrations and is thus the third largest manufacturer in Europe.  By 2021, about 10% of new Renault cars will be BEVs.  The group publicly announced plans to sell 30% of its new cars to BEVs by 2025 and 90% by 2030.

 Another progressive manufacturer statements include Ford (100% BEVs by 2030) and Volvo (50% BEVs by 2025, 100% by 2030).  Both manufacturers account for about 0.6 million new car sales in Europe.  Omanufacturerf course, Tesla is another  already committed to 100% BEVs.  And the brand Jaguar has around a quarter of the new car sales of the Jaguar Land Rover group dedicated to 100% BEVs by 2025.

 German-based manufacturers, on the other hand, have yet to stand out in regard to explicit BEV publications.  Instead, they are still hiding behind vague statements involving plug-in hybrid vehicles (PHEVs).  Volkswagen Group, Europe’s largest manufacturer, has 2.2 million new car sales, about 10% of which are BEVs by 2021.  For 2030, the group has announced plans to sell 60% of new cars as electric vehicles, with no apparent difference between.  BEVs and PHEVs. 

Only VW and Skoda brands commit to 70% and 50% โ€“70% BEVs by 2030, respectively.  The Audi brand is committed to 100% BEVs by 2033, and the VW brand is committed to it by 2035.  Both BMW and Daimler have come up with the announcement of 50% electric vehicles by 2030, again with PHEVs.

 Hyundai is also surprisingly wary of the Korean manufacturer group, which is the fifth largest player in the European market.  Previously today, 12% of all new Hyundai registrations in Europe are BEVs, which is the highest number of all maker.  And yet, the company cites 2035 as the purpose year for 100% BEV sales in Europe, and only for the Hyundai brand.  Nissan, another leading provider today with a 14% BEV share, is only committed to 75% electric vehicle sales by 2030, including PHEVs.  And then thereโ€™s Toyota, which currently has less than 1% BEV share and the back of the pack.  For its Lexus brand, the company is committed to owning 100% of all electric vehicles by 2030, such as battery or fuel cell electric vehicles, but for the entire Toyota group, fully electrification is targeted at 2035 and with caution, “Toyota is set to achieve 100% CO2 reduction by 2035,”  Assuming enough electric charging and hydrogen refueling infrastructure are in place at the moment, this is not really a bold commitment compared to some other manufacturers’ claims.

 About 50% of new cars will be BEVs by 2030, if manufacturers meet the goals outlined in their statements.  This is before above the 35% zero and low-emission vehicle (ZLEV) guideline set by the European Commission in 2030.  By 2035, produceres pronouncement will add up to 63% of new car sales of BEVs – an magnificent number, considering the 100% BEV manifesto has not been acquired by the European Commission (yet).  Plus, it goes without saying that manufacturers are ready to increase their commitments.  Skoda’s CEO summed it up by saying:

“However, the transformation from combustion engine to electric vehicle is further developed. We maintain our greater flexibility and re-adjust. We can definitely increase our current 70% target.” (Translated from German).  In light of these developments, one must think that it does not take much courage from the European Parliament and EU Member States to confirm the Commission’s 2035 step-by-step goal for new combustion engine vehicles – or to strengthen it further.

source: The International Council on Clean Transportation

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